Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1112.675899 1254.090666 1408.281692 1589.158674 1795.873046 2025.143260 2299.246017
2026-02-01 900.593915 1093.911554 1322.622033 1614.363217 1978.318938 2419.593250 2998.476385
2026-02-08 777.038708 993.016261 1263.189378 1628.404636 2112.902191 2738.702348 3616.503375
2026-02-15 691.802850 920.909842 1220.700881 1645.577352 2238.461995 3045.615718 4243.359164
2026-02-22 631.756035 871.008563 1196.479732 1677.136519 2378.297947 3378.342533 4938.896451
2026-03-01 561.919943 798.096867 1130.173792 1638.178763 2408.140358 3551.619546 5416.427559
2026-03-08 500.441871 729.686700 1061.589436 1585.535548 2407.388967 3673.309010 5822.299712
2026-03-15 448.889357 670.255752 999.378349 1534.050517 2399.566309 3778.430677 6208.110395
2026-03-22 428.181283 654.937545 1001.309163 1580.755405 2549.637124 4147.933347 7075.868388
2026-03-29 404.064188 631.783296 988.325175 1601.081931 2656.784576 4455.621354 7872.910493
2026-04-05 380.706213 607.558147 971.019621 1611.648260 2746.914976 4741.544386 8664.329601
2026-04-12 359.657635 585.152226 954.399613 1621.040132 2834.619630 5030.504247 9495.979478
2026-04-19 345.255765 573.113774 954.808833 1661.473359 2984.862760 5455.134750 10660.680538
2026-04-26 329.576058 557.627854 948.010459 1688.367386 3113.124121 5853.823032 11832.773044
2026-05-03 313.433962 539.897403 935.535545 1703.110763 3218.894770 6219.512290 12986.605502
2026-05-10 299.224890 524.382069 925.540493 1721.151225 3332.270993 6612.256941 14255.009437
2026-05-17 288.294222 513.876472 923.660506 1754.307268 3478.963407 7089.874292 15784.780232
2026-05-24 268.531862 485.517649 886.163293 1713.378714 3467.677533 7229.274659 16545.269523
2026-05-31 248.719164 455.639558 843.494708 1658.079906 3419.946263 7282.768951 17105.040144
2026-06-07 230.724836 428.003013 803.141424 1604.006300 3369.305033 7323.658472 17639.031148
2026-06-14 225.853821 425.435130 811.699845 1653.059065 3551.442167 7918.526777 19678.978372
2026-06-21 218.222863 416.858312 807.547121 1674.409616 3672.940287 8385.107612 21456.814696
2026-06-28 210.026473 406.563135 799.094018 1685.508782 3771.657537 8808.162733 23185.231730